I have been watching the news the last few days and I cannot help but to think of what can possibly happen to the Republican Party if they fail at obtaining the White House in less than four days from now. This has been a very interesting election cycle: with many twists and turns from the Wright Controversy to Palin's nomination as the GOP Vice Presidential candidate. But even as McCain still remains optimistic (perhaps not realizing that there is a great amount of stress on him to even hold onto the safe Republican strongholds of the South and West) about his chances to win on Tuesday; can it really happen?
As I explained in the last post I put on here, the only way he can possibly pull off a victory is to win every single state that are both safe for Republicans and all the remaining swing states. He has already abandoned Nevada, Colorado and New Mexico to Obama and with each passing day, Obama continues to hold advantages in many important swing states like Florida and Ohio. Each passing day, the path to 270 seems all but impossible. While I did state that I am not ready to declare this election cycle for the Democrats, thus for Obama, we need to think about the implications of a Republican loss.
At this current moment if McCain lost, the Republican Party would most likely tear itself apart in an effort to reorganize itself. This is McCain's last chance or hurrah rather to obtain the Presidency and if he does loose on Tuesday, he will not be running again in 2012 -- he will just return to his position as a Senator from Arizona. With the person who had brought the Republicans so close yet not close enough, there will need to be a new generation of GOP leaders to emerge from the wake of the impending implosion (this is perhaps over dramatic but anything is possible with a McCain loss).
Governor Palin, who was an Washington and National political outsider until two months ago seems to be one of the many new GOP leaders who will continue the supposedly endless fight against the Democrats beyond 2008. Many of the old Republican guard believe that when McCain looses on Tuesday (again, if he does, which as I've read by numerous polling organizations seems to be quite certain of happening), they will blame Palin for dragging down the ticket. On ABC News, Palin stated she signaled she would remain on the national political scene no matter what happens Tuesday. "I'm not doing this for naught," she told ABC News.
Palin has split conservatives - some energized by her strong stand on social issues and others embarrassed by her halting interview performances - regardless of their personal feelings towards her, they all concur that her rallies have attracted numbers that a Republican party searching for female star power can't ignore. The Associated Press stated: "Palin's future will be a top item on the agenda at a meeting of national conservatives scheduled for next Thursday. Participants say Palin's role in the conservative movement, and as a 2012 contender if the GOP ticket loses, will be discussed." This will be interesting to see what comes out of this very important meeting -- as to whether Palin's role in the future of the GOP will be extensive or not.
Friday, October 31, 2008
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4 comments:
I agree with you here, Zack. And as I said in my post a few days earlier, it scares me. The fact that Palin, such a radically right-wing conservative, can draw such support from the base, and now the political insiders, is a sign that the Republican party is going in a direction that is absolutely positively in the wrong direction for America (in my opinion).
Sam the same can be said for the radical liberal views of Obama. Its not faretched to say that Obama's liberal views will change this country into more of a socialist society, which I am not sure is the right direction either.
i think its astounding how people really consider her the real america. this woman who is a complete danger to our society, as a true american politician.
i think that the GOP needs to seriously reconsider putting her as the frontrunner of their party. If they thought the media was hard on her now, its nothing compared to what they will be saying as soon as its allowed to rip her to shreds.
Palin may be a good candidate four years from now, who knows? I just think that she should have properly introduced herself. I am in Boston right now, and a few hours ago I overheard two women talking and one of them said, "I mean I would have voted for McCain, but the thing is I dont even really know Palin. I still think of her as a complete stranger."
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